2015: Top 5 Elections to Watch in Africa
VENTURES AFRICA – Last year’s election predictions for 2014 were generally correct with wins by Minister of Defense Filipe Jacinto Nyussi in Mozambique, General Abdel Fattah al-Sisi in Egypt, Jacob Zuma in South Africa and the field in Tunisia (maybe this one is a stretch). This year is not drumming up the same excitement. But the stakes at hand will be equally big.
Zambia is the surprise country on the list. Zambia’s Acting President Guy Scott recently announced that the presidential election will be held on January 20, 2015. The election is constitutionally required to replace President Michael Sata who unexpectedly passed on October 28th. President Scott is the first white leader on the African continent since South Africa Apartheid-era’s President F.W. de Klerk who left office in 1994. It should be noted that Paul Bérenger was Prime Minister of Mauritius from 2003 to 2005.
What does this mean for Zambia? President Scott faces an uphill battle to win the presidency in 2015. Opposition parties indirectly and directly drop hints to whiteness as a sign of his incompetence to govern the predominantly black Zambian population. A cloud of uncertainty consequently remains with Sata’s and now Scott’s Patriotic Front (PF) as internal debates and rumbles continue over who will be at the top of the ticket. The opposition is still clarifying how to attack the PF….consequently expect the PF to shape up a plan before the election and win a closer than expected battle (but probably not with President Scott at the top of the ticket).